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  • #265376
    Profile photo of marco.van.asperen
    marco.van.asperen
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    Replies: 190
    Topics: 84
    Join date: 2017/01/09

     It has begun!

    My first home work: some equity calculations (including my estimates)

    Board: 6hAsTs
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 20.10% 19.57% 0.53% { 9d4dQh3s } (My guesstimate was 15%)
    BB: 79.90% 79.37% 0.53% { random }

    Board: Kd3dQc
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 39.75% 39.18% 0.57% { Jh7h9s7s } (my guesstimate was 30%)
    BB: 60.25% 59.68% 0.57% { random }

    Board: 5sKc7c
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 78.52% 78.21% 0.31% { As6sAc5c } (my guesstimate was 70%)
    BB: 21.48% 21.17% 0.31% { random }

    Board: 6dAhTh
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 52.45% 52.12% 0.33% { KdKh2sTc } (my guesstimate was 55%)
    BB: 47.55% 47.23% 0.33% { random }

    Board: 7c5c2c
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 38.24% 37.22% 1.02% { KdAs8s4s } (my guesstimate was 45%)
    BB: 61.76% 60.74% 1.02% { random }

    Board: QdQc2c
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 71.69% 71.47% 0.23% { Ad3dAs9c } (my guesstimate was 70%)
    BB: 28.31% 28.08% 0.23% { random }

    Board: 6d6h5h
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 95.55% 95.02% 0.52% { KhAs6c5c } (my guesstimate was 95%)
    BB: 4.45% 3.93% 0.52% { random }

    Board: Js4s6c
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 75.77% 75.18% 0.58% { As9sJc8c } (my guesstimate was 75%)
    BB: 24.23% 23.65% 0.58% { random }

    Board: Td2dTc
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 46.91% 46.67% 0.24% { 7dAs7s5c } (my guesstimate was 60%)
    BB: 53.09% 52.85% 0.24% { random }

    Board: 8d3d2c
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 24.90% 24.38% 0.52% { 6d9h7sTc } (my guesstimate was 35%)
    BB: 75.10% 74.58% 0.52% { random }

     

    Concluding from these 10 hands, I need to be careful when I’m a dog on the flop; my situation could be worse than I would estimate.

    When I’m ahead, the numbers seem to match up with my estimates (sometimes better).

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    #265415
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    marco.van.asperen
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    #265723
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    marco.van.asperen
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    Replies: 190
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    Join date: 2017/01/09

    January 15 home work

    Board: 7dThJc
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 65.13% 64.11% 1.02% { JdQs4s7c } (my estimate 68%)
    BB: 34.87% 33.85% 1.02% { random }

    Board: 9d4d6c
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 53.06% 52.69% 0.37% { Td6hKsKc } (my estimate 65%)
    BB: 46.94% 46.56% 0.37% { random }

    Board: 7d9c2c
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 50.67% 50.26% 0.41% { 5dJs9sJc } (my estimate 60%)
    BB: 49.33% 48.91% 0.41% { random }

    Board: 9dJs5c
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 48.30% 46.84% 1.47% { 6dAh8h7c } (my estimate 60%)
    BB: 51.70% 50.23% 1.47% { random }

    Board: 5d2dTc
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 64.01% 63.29% 0.72% { Jh9hTs2c } (my estimate 60%)
    BB: 35.99% 35.28% 0.72% { random }

    Board: 9d9hKc
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 56.64% 56.28% 0.36% { Kd7d6h2h } (my estimate 55%)
    BB: 43.36% 43.00% 0.36% { random }

    Board: Ad6h8s
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 32.92% 32.36% 0.56% { 2d4h2h5s } (my estimate 35%)
    BB: 67.08% 66.52% 0.56% { random }

    Board: TdJc7c
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 62.67% 61.80% 0.88% { Kd5dQc3c } (my estimate 75%)
    BB: 37.33% 36.45% 0.88% { random }

    Board: Jd2d4c
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 60.21% 59.42% 0.78% { Ad7dKh3c } (my estimate 60%)
    BB: 39.79% 39.01% 0.78% { random }

    Board: ThAs3s
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 57.86% 56.58% 1.28% { JdKhTs8c } (my estimate 50%)
    BB: 42.14% 40.85% 1.28% { random }

    #265724
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    marco.van.asperen
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    Replies: 190
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    Join date: 2017/01/09

    Hand histories 15 Jan HU PLO

    PokerStars – $0.50 PL Hi FAST (2 max) – Omaha Hi – 2 players
    Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

    Hero (SB): 157.94 BB
    BB: 140.5 BB (VPIP: 54.55, PFR: 38.64, 3Bet Preflop: 10.81, Hands: 94)

    Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

    Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9 J 2 T

    Hero raises to 3 BB, BB calls 2 BB

    Flop: (6 BB, 2 players) 5 2 T
    BB checks, Hero bets 3.76 BB, BB calls 3.76 BB

    Turn: (13.52 BB, 2 players) T
    BB bets 7.2 BB, Hero calls 7.2 BB

    River: (27.92 BB, 2 players) 4
    BB bets 20.68 BB, Hero calls 20.68 BB

    BB shows A 6 2 K (Two Pair, Tens and Twos)
    (Pre 50%, Flop 29%, Turn 0%)
    Hero shows 9 J 2 T (Full House, Tens full of Twos)
    (Pre 50%, Flop 71%, Turn 100%)
    Hero wins 67.78 BB

    Q: raise on the river?
    A: I’m never folding in this spot, but I don’t think that raising is going to bring any merits. Which worse hands could call a raise? A NF call would be a very light call, except when I’m raising the river frequently with air (which is not the case).

    #265728
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    marco.van.asperen
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    Replies: 190
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    Hand histories 15 Jan HU PLO

    partypoker – $0.50 PL Hi (2 max) – Omaha Hi – 2 players
    Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

    Hero (BB): 200.08 BB
    SB: 156.44 BB (VPIP: 96.98, PFR: 54.17, 3Bet Preflop: 10.99, Hands: 582)

    SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

    Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 7 6 9 A

    SB raises to 3 BB, Hero calls 2 BB

    Flop: (6 BB, 2 players) 8 5 7
    Hero checks, SB bets 4.26 BB, Hero calls 4.26 BB

    Turn: (14.52 BB, 2 players) K
    Hero checks, SB bets 10.36 BB, Hero raises to 44.9 BB, SB raises to 148.52 BB, Hero calls 103.62 BB

    River: (311.56 BB, 2 players) 5
    Hero bets 1 BB, SB calls 0.66 BB and is all-in

    Hero shows 7 6 9 A (Straight, Nine High)
    (Pre 48%, Flop 51%, Turn 39%)
    SB shows K 6 9 K (Full House, Kings full of Fives)
    (Pre 52%, Flop 49%, Turn 61%)
    Hero wins 0.34 BB
    SB wins 310.88 BB

    Q: raise the flop and risk losing value?
    A: I decided to check-call the flop with the flopped nuts to keep my range wide. We were very deep (> 150bb effective) and I like to see a clean turn.
    On the turn the action explodes, I check/pot and my opponent re-pots with his turned top set. I think the re-was a bad play: as my hand screams a (nut) straight on that blank turn.
    I also turned the NFD as backup, which means that top set is also vulnerable there (my opponent had no FD). Unfortunately, the river pairs and I lost this big pot, but I liked my line.

    #265729
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    marco.van.asperen
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    Replies: 190
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    Join date: 2017/01/09

    Hand history

    partypoker – $0.50 PL Hi (2 max) – Omaha Hi – 2 players
    Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

    Hero (SB): 193.8 BB
    BB: 167.98 BB (VPIP: 93.42, PFR: 52.50, 3Bet Preflop: 12.21, Hands: 720)

    Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

    Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 3 A 4 A

    Hero raises to 3 BB, BB calls 2 BB

    Flop: (6 BB, 2 players) A 9 3
    BB checks, Hero bets 2.84 BB, BB raises to 11.36 BB, Hero calls 8.52 BB

    Turn: (28.72 BB, 2 players) Q
    BB bets 20.48 BB, Hero raises to 78 BB, BB calls 57.52 BB

    River: (184.72 BB, 2 players) 8
    BB checks, Hero checks

    BB shows 9 Q 9 3 (Three of a Kind, Nines)
    (Pre 37%, Flop 9%, Turn 3%)
    Hero shows 3 A 4 A (Three of a Kind, Aces)
    (Pre 63%, Flop 91%, Turn 98%)
    Hero wins 182.72 BB

    Q: leaving value on the river?
    A: I’m pretty sure I did. I did not like the straight completing river, but what straight combo’s are potting the flop and then value bet the turn? TJ is not a likely range there. Besides, wouldn’t most TJ lead-jam the river once the straight gets there?
    I think a smallish river bet would have been a crying call.

    #265891
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    marco.van.asperen
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    Replies: 190
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    Join date: 2017/01/09

    Homework Jan 16 Quiz “How to create your CFP account”

    1) Question
    (multiple choice)

    Within your CFP account, you can:

    -1 track progress of your performance (bankroll, hands played etc)
    -2 track your daily profits in $
    -3 ask your coach questions on non-poker topics

    Answer : http://www.bestpokercoaching.com/topic/road-to-60k/#post-265892

    2) Question
    (ordering)

    Why is it necessary to have a CFP account?
    (start with the most important and end with the least important)
    -It keeps you motivated
    -It learns you to treat poker as a business
    -It gives the coach inside in your performance
    -It forces you to daily update your results, review them at the same time and thereby creates a structural approach
    Answer : http://www.bestpokercoaching.com/topic/road-to-60k/#post-265892

    3) Question
    (fill in the gap)

    CFP forces you to set periodical goals, on a xxx basis
    Answer : http://www.bestpokercoaching.com/topic/road-to-60k/#post-265892

    #265892
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    marco.van.asperen
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    Replies: 190
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    Join date: 2017/01/09

    Question 1: -1 is the correct answer

    Question 2: correct order:
    -It forces you to daily update your results, review them at the same time and thereby creates a structural approach
    -It learns you to treat poker as a business
    -It gives the coach inside in your performance
    -It keeps you motivated

    Qestion 3: WEEKLY

    #265913
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    marco.van.asperen
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    Replies: 190
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    Quiz Kazor 08.02.2016 answers:

    1) Rylan

    2) correct order:
    -3betting double pairs
    -Hands replay & analysis in PT4
    -live coaching session

    3) DECREASE

    #266134
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    marco.van.asperen
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    Quiz Kazor 16.02.2016

    Question 1) : 3 check/raise even with air and weak draws

    Question 2) :
    1) shove the flop

    4) Lead out for 1/3 of the pot

    2) check/fold the flop

    3) check/call the flop and see a turn

    Question 3) :
    bet big on wet boards and small on dry boards

    #266193
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    marco.van.asperen
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    Replies: 190
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    Quiz #3 Kazor 16.02.2016 answers:

    Question 1: bet the flop, barrel the turn and give up on the river.
    When called on both flop and (especially) turn, it is very likely we are up against trips or better.

    Question 2:
    3) check/fold because we think our opponent is likely to have an Ace.

    Question 3:
    1) With bottom boat on the river, we usually c) call the bet

    2) With a Q high flush on the river, we usually b) lead out for close to pot

    3) With a flopped bare straight and deep stacks, we usually d) do not raise

    4) With a flopped top set and facing a raise, we usually a) raise pot

    #266228
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    marco.van.asperen
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    Replies: 190
    Topics: 84
    Join date: 2017/01/09

    Hand history Jan 16, 2017:

    partypoker – $0.50 PL Hi (2 max) – Omaha Hi – 2 players
    Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

    Hero (SB): 100 BB
    BB: 147.16 BB (VPIP: 94.02, PFR: 53.05, 3Bet Preflop: 12.44, Hands: 824)

    Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

    Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J Q J T

    Hero raises to 3 BB, BB calls 2 BB

    Flop: (6 BB, 2 players) 7 9 A
    BB checks, Hero bets 4.26 BB, BB raises to 14.2 BB, Hero calls 9.94 BB

    Turn: (34.4 BB, 2 players) K
    BB bets 22.88 BB, Hero calls 22.88 BB

    River: (80.16 BB, 2 players) Q
    BB bets 78.16 BB, Hero calls 59.92 BB and is all-in

    BB shows 2 8 T 6 (High Card, Ace)
    (Pre 34%, Flop 40%, Turn 38%)
    Hero shows J Q J T (Straight, Ace High)
    (Pre 66%, Flop 60%, Turn 63%)
    BB wins 18.24 BB
    Hero wins 198 BB

    Q: What was the plan on the flop?
    A: I had to review the hand twice to recall 🙂
    After being XR on the flop, I decided to float (I thought it was likely he had two pair often, sometimes a set and sometimes straight draws).
    Often this opponent slowed down once the turn was a scary card, giving me a chance to bet and take it down.
    The turn gave me a pair and an inside wrap. Opponent however did fire again, but not full pot. Again, I felt I could float and bet (big) on the river when checked to, especially on flush completing rivers.
    As it happens, I backdoored into the nuts and my opponent leads pot with his missed wrap on the flop.

    #266253
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    marco.van.asperen
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    Replies: 190
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    Join date: 2017/01/09

    Jan 16 2017 home work:

    1) Board: 5dThQc
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 57.48% 57.23% 0.26% { Ad2h9sAc } (my estimate 60%)
    BB: 42.52% 42.26% 0.26% { random }

    2) Board: 9d7hAs
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 57.93% 57.39% 0.54% { JdTdJhQc } (my estimate 50%)
    BB: 42.07% 41.53% 0.54% { random }

    3) Board: 6d8h6h
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 44.11% 42.67% 1.43% { AsKc7c5c } (my estimate 60%)
    BB: 55.89% 54.46% 1.43% { random }

    4) Board: QdTd2c
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 70.67% 70.55% 0.12% { Kd7dKs7c } (my estimate 63%)
    BB: 29.33% 29.22% 0.12% { random }

    5) Board: 7dTh9c
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 87.71% 85.32% 2.39% { QhJh8c6c } (my estimate 85%)
    BB: 12.29% 9.90% 2.39% { random }

    6) Board: 9dQc9c
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 54.88% 54.76% 0.13% { 6d2hJc6c } (my estimate 65%)
    BB: 45.12% 44.99% 0.13% { random }

    7) Board: Th4hJs
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 78.17% 77.92% 0.25% { Td5d9sTc } (my estimate 65%)
    BB: 21.83% 21.58% 0.25% { random }

    8) Board: 5hTs9s
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 58.54% 57.96% 0.57% { QdKhQcTc } (my estimate 65%)
    BB: 41.46% 40.89% 0.57% { random }

    9) Board: Th9s2s
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 51.65% 51.41% 0.24% { 2d6h5s3s } (my estimate 50%)
    BB: 48.35% 48.11% 0.24% { random }

    10) Board: 7d6s8c
    Equity Wins Ties
    SB: 57.12% 55.01% 2.10% { QdQh6h9c } (my estimate 55%)
    BB: 42.88% 40.78% 2.10% { random }

    #266259
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    marco.van.asperen
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    Replies: 190
    Topics: 84
    Join date: 2017/01/09

    Hand history 16 01 2017

    partypoker – $0.50 PL Hi (2 max) – Omaha Hi – 2 players
    Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

    Hero (BB): 258.76 BB
    SB: 118.36 BB (VPIP: 94.12, PFR: 53.18, 3Bet Preflop: 12.68, Hands: 871)

    SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

    Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J J A 8

    SB raises to 3 BB, Hero calls 2 BB

    Flop: (6 BB, 2 players) 4 8 3
    Hero checks, SB bets 4.84 BB, Hero calls 4.84 BB

    Turn: (15.68 BB, 2 players) 8
    Hero checks, SB bets 10.48 BB, Hero raises to 46.42 BB, SB raises to 110.52 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 64.1 BB

    River: (236.72 BB, 2 players) 7

    Hero shows J J A 8 (Three of a Kind, Eights)
    (Pre 68%, Flop 40%, Turn 15%)
    SB shows 4 5 4 3 (Full House, Fours full of Eights)
    (Pre 32%, Flop 60%, Turn 85%)
    SB wins 234.72 BB

    Q: is there a scenario where the money does not go in before the river?
    A: I don’t think I can ever fold on the flop or on the turn tbh. In fact, I don’t understand why I didn’t XR the flop with so much equity against villains range (NFD, TP, OP).
    The turn brings trips with top kicker, with the NFD to boot. Even if he has flopped a bottom type boat, I still have 2 jacks, 1 8 and 3 aces to river a better boat.

    #266263
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    marco.van.asperen
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    Replies: 190
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    Join date: 2017/01/09

    partypoker – $0.50 PL Hi (2 max) – Omaha Hi – 2 players
    Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

    Hero (SB): 131.46 BB
    BB: 108.08 BB (VPIP: 94.01, PFR: 53.06, 3Bet Preflop: 12.47, Hands: 822)

    Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

    Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T Q K 4

    Hero raises to 3 BB, BB calls 2 BB

    Flop: (6 BB, 2 players) 6 2 J
    BB checks, Hero bets 4.26 BB, BB raises to 14.2 BB, Hero calls 9.94 BB

    Turn: (34.4 BB, 2 players) T
    BB bets 22.88 BB, Hero calls 22.88 BB

    River: (80.16 BB, 2 players) 2
    BB bets 68 BB and is all-in, fold

    BB wins 146.16 BB

    Q: did I play the turn to weak?
    A: I thought he was quite strong on the flop. His turn bet was 2/3 pot, which could mean a draw or a made hand.
    At this point, by calling, my hand is face up (a draw). By raising with fold equity and 2nd NFD outs and nut straight outs, in retrospect I think a raise would have been the better play.
    One reason which I thought justified calling vs raising was being IP and thus being able to play a three street game with information.

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