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February 11, 2019 at 2:00 pm #455169
Join date: 2017/10/06
iPoker – £0.50 NL (2 max) – Holdem – 2 players
Hero (SB): 181.58 BB
BB: 34.68 BB (VPIP: 81.82, PFR: 45.45, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 14)
Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 4 K
Hero raises to 2 BB, BB calls 1 BB
Flop: (4 BB, 2 players) 9 J 7
BB checks, Hero bets 2.8 BB, BB raises to 5.6 BB, Hero calls 2.8 BB
Turn: (15.2 BB, 2 players) 5
BB checks, Hero checks
River: (15.2 BB, 2 players) A
BB bets 5 BB, fold
BB wins 14.44 BB
Q. Is this a good spot to shove?
A. I think so. There are likely many draws and this is a min raise so it doesn’t look like villain is trying to protect a TP hand against any draws I might have.
If we assume that villain is min-raising with all his decent* 7x, 8x, 9x and Tx plus a bunch of decent flush draws of his own then we have 47% equity plus a lot of fold equity!
Q2. Should we do the same when we don’t have the overcard?
A2. Without an overcard I simply call and take the odds. A hand like 42s here has 37% equity which is a big difference.
With AK here we would be ahead of that range with 58%.
* I arbitrarily used all hands north and west of the pocket pairs on the range chart to consider what hands might be considered “decent”.February 11, 2019 at 2:14 pm #455172
Join date: 2015/08/23
I personally would only call here , maybe shoving is fine , but we are holding 2 spades , so it’s less likely he has a spade draw , T8 is already a straight , and in my experience 35bb deep he will call all made hands of you raise after he Xr flopFebruary 11, 2019 at 4:19 pm #455185
Join date: 2014/09/10
Like Jon said, we don’t usually have a lot of fold equity versus short stacks, so I would just take my cheap equity. I might jam a combo draw or a FD with two overcards, where we really don’t care if we get called.February 14, 2019 at 12:26 pm #455697
Join date: 2013/04/28
why would we shove? vs tp 2.pair we are behind. fold equtiy is less as in 100BBs spots.
Worst non MAde Hand for a shove would be 2overs+Flushdraw . as we would be ahead his TP
no matter how hard it is or how bad it gets i'm going to make it
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