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March 7, 2019 at 11:22 am #458962
Join date: 2019/08/18
SB: $50 (100 bb)
Hero (BB): $50 (100 bb)
MP: $50 (100 bb)
CO: $16.19 (32.4 bb)
BTN: $113.76 (227.5 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BB with 3 J
MP folds, CO calls $0.50, 2 folds, Hero checks
Flop: ($1.25) 6 T J (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $1.25, Hero calls $1.25
Turn: ($3.75) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $4, Hero calls $4
River: ($11.75) 3 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $10.44, Hero calls $10.44Spoiler:
V: 60/12 115h fish that only bets pot or nothing and he is aggressive postflop cbet 5/5 ; turn 2/2
Q1: do we have 34% on turn?
A1: It depends on if V bets hands like AhXx which I believe he does. I also have seen him bet 2nP potsize flop and turn before.
Q2: do we have 32% on river?
A2: For us to have 32%, he has to bet worse like AA, Jx or bluff too much.
Against this range we have 34%.
One of the reason I called is, V has only one betsize and that he is very aggressive. He bets 2nP and draws flop and turn in these spots so folding on turn is not best decision. The river does not improve us alot since he should not bet his TP anymore. If he does bet TP we obv have a call here. Against someone passive we definitely should fold the turn.
Even though I believe V is aggressive enough for us to have a call here, there will be plenty clearer spots to get him.
"Life´s greatest lessons are learned through Pain"
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