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  • #455255

    jakeshaft
    Participant
    CFP Student

    Replies: 17
    Topics: 24
    Join date: 2015/06/07

    888 Poker – $0.05 NL (6 max) – Holdem – 6 players
    Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

    Hero (BTN): 160 BB
    SB: 112.2 BB (VPIP: 21.00, PFR: 17.35, 3Bet Preflop: 5.48, Hands: 220)
    BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 26.14, PFR: 20.69, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 2,053)
    UTG: 108 BB (VPIP: 94.44, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 18)
    MP: 130.2 BB (VPIP: 25.94, PFR: 18.56, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 622)
    CO: 106.4 BB (VPIP: 19.04, PFR: 15.90, 3Bet Preflop: 9.02, Hands: 4,527)

    SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

    Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has T J

    UTG calls 1 BB, fold, fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, fold, UTG calls 3 BB

    Flop: (9.4 BB, 2 players) 3 7 J
    UTG checks, Hero bets 7.8 BB, UTG calls 7.8 BB

    Turn: (25 BB, 2 players) T
    UTG checks, Hero bets 19.6 BB, UTG calls 19.6 BB

    River: (64.2 BB, 2 players) 2
    UTG bets 32 BB, Hero calls 32 BB

    Spoiler:
    UTG shows 3 7 (Two Pair, Sevens and Threes)
    (Pre 31%, Flop 73%, Turn 9%)
    Hero shows T J (Two Pair, Jacks and Tens)
    (Pre 69%, Flop 27%, Turn 91%)
    Hero wins 121.8 BB

    Q: Raise donkbet on river?

    A: XC, XC, donk is a line we shouldn’t show respect. 89 got there on turn but a good run-out of rour hand. I believe villain can call a raise with JJ-TT,77,33,AJs,KJs,QJs,JTs,J7s,J3s-J2s,T3s,98s,73s-72s,AJo,KJo,QJo,JTo,J7o,J3o-J2o,T7o,T3o,98o,73o-72o vs that range we got 73% equity. If all TP are removed we got 65%. It’s a clear raise on river.

     

    What I learned this hand; vs a whale I need to expand what I consider nuts on a good run-out (no flush, limited straights).

    #455278

    playsmart4
    Participant
    CFP Student

    Replies: 1968
    Topics: 182
    Join date: 2016/12/01

    We can shove River here with Top Two Pairs vs a 94vpip fish. He will call any Jx hand so this looks like a clear value raise in this scenario! 

    #455352

    marovtus
    Participant
    CFP Student

    Replies: 89
    Topics: 38
    Join date: 2017/09/07

    I think we can shove with top two pairs and 2 on the river is pretty blank card…

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