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  • #475736

    JayBee1982
    Participant
    CFP Student

    Replies: 524
    Topics: 130
    Join date: 2019/08/22

    Villain is fishy, but not a moron.

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    BB checks, Hero???

    Standard line is to cbet TP top 3 kickers 3 streets for value. The river connects well to the flop, and if it had been a heart I would have definitely checked back. But since it isn’t, the question is: can we profitably value bet? Against this range, which only contains A7, 8x FDs and OESDs, and K4-K5 as one pair hands, and most of the two pair+ hands (not all, because I expect him to definitely raise a lot of those before the river), we have enough. We shouldn’t make it too big though, to make sure he doesn’t fold his A7 (or worse 7x) and 8x. 

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    #475737

    JayBee1982
    Participant
    CFP Student

    Replies: 524
    Topics: 130
    Join date: 2019/08/22

    Obviously I bet my flush if a heart hits OTR! grimace 

    #475937

    onlypoker.pstef
    Participant
    CFP Student

    Replies: 513
    Topics: 325
    Join date: 2019/08/16

    i would go definately for a 50% bet to get call from 7x. 

    #476940

    Crunky
    Participant
    CFP Student

    Replies: 416
    Topics: 45
    Join date: 2019/08/22

    Villian dependent, from his stats I would say he look kind of aggressive and not to cally, notes can ofc change this but think its to thin to go for 50% here and dont want to go small vs this opponent. only based on aggressive stats, if you have notes this can change everything.

    https://www.bestpokercoaching.com/topic/your-favourite-blog/

    #477948

    Gordon Gekko
    Keymaster


    Replies: 2789
    Topics: 10
    Join date: 2019/08/21

    This is NOT a TP spot. its better ur hand is disguised, K is a BLANK on the turn. u hit it, great… even on a heart you have an EASY bet, like 50%.

    Here the trick is to find out how much villain calls, not whether ur hand is good enough… 20 looks fine.

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