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April 4, 2019 at 12:46 pm #465579
Murat CakmakParticipantCFP Student
Join date: 2018/01/17
SB: $8.95 (44.8 bb)
BB: $34.19 (171 bb)
Hero (MP): $26.18 (130.9 bb)
CO: $27.01 (135.1 bb)
BTN: $35.83 (179.2 bb)
Preflop: Hero is MP with K 8
Hero raises to $0.50, 2 folds, SB calls $0.40, BB calls $0.30
Flop: ($1.50) 7 K T (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.90, SB calls $0.90, BB folds
Turn: ($3.30) K (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2.64, SB raises to $5.28, Hero raises to $15.31, SB calls $2.27 and is all-in
River: ($18.40) 5 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
Results: $18.40 pot ($1.22 rake)
Final Board: 7 K T K 5
SB showed 5 6 and won $17.18 ($8.23 net)
Hero mucked K 8 and lost (-$8.95 net)
Q1: do we have 27% on turn? ( V is essentially shoving)
A1: V can have nearly all flushes and better Kx.
worst case: 25%
High variance spot against a fish, in hindsight I like to check turn to keept he pot small, since he has all the flushes
We also could just call turn and see a cheap river where we have odds for fullhouse.
I need to avoid spots with high variance where we have only a couple % points edge best case, especially agauinst fish. there will be plenty better spots to take.
"Life´s greatest lessons are learned through Pain"
https://www.bestpokercoaching.com/topic/making-the-dream-into-reality/April 8, 2019 at 10:48 pm #466381
Join date: 2018/02/21
You overplay the hand
Even and against a fish, you have to fold here I don’t see any worst hands to take this line.
We also could just call turn and see a cheap river where we have odds for fullhouse
Looks nice us an idea but I don’t think would be good vs a fish because he can have a lot of 1 hearth hands and some tens that can call you OTT also you make your life easy with cbet OTT because if has the flush he will raise most of the times you will fold and that’s all.
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