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    Murat Cakmak
    Participant
    CFP Student

    Replies: 514
    Topics: 99
    Join date: 2018/01/17

     

    SB: $15.25 (76.3 bb)
    Hero (BB): $21.60 (108 bb)
    UTG: $25.45 (127.3 bb)
    MP: $47.38 (236.9 bb)
    CO: $1.47 (7.4 bb)
    BTN: $11.33 (56.7 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is BB with K of spades A of diamonds
    2 folds, CO calls $0.20, BTN calls $0.20, SB folds, Hero raises to $1.40, CO folds, BTN calls $1.20

    Flop: ($3.10) 5 of diamonds Q of spades K of clubs (2 players)
    Hero bets $2.20, BTN raises to $9.93 and is all-in, Hero calls $7.73

    Turn: ($22.96) 6 of clubs (2 players, 1 is all-in)
    River: ($22.96) 2 of hearts (2 players, 1 is all-in)

    Spoiler:
    Results: $22.96 pot ($1.53 rake)
    Final Board: 5 of diamonds Q of spades K of clubs 6 of clubs 2 of hearts
    Hero mucked K of spades A of diamonds and lost (-$11.33 net)
    BTN showed Q of clubs K of diamonds and won $21.43 ($10.10 net)

    Vbu: 31/3 110

    Q1: do we have 34%?

    A1: V has 9 combos of value (KQ, 55), he needs to have more than 4 combos that are worse.

    <b>Equity</b> <b>Win</b> <b>Tie</b>  
    <b>MP2</b>  36.23%  36.05%  0.18% AdKs
    <b>MP3</b>  63.77%  63.59%  0.18% 55, KJs+, JTs, KQo

    Since there are not many draws that jam flop, it boils down to if Villain jams worse Kx. It is definitely possible and he only needs one KXs for us to have enough EQ.

    I ignored QQ+, because V has PFR stat. If Villain limp/calls QQ+, he has to jam all 16 combos of JT for us to have over 34%.

    We should bet/fold KJ, because we dont dominate anymore , dont block AA, but we block JT.

    "Life´s greatest lessons are learned through Pain"
    https://www.bestpokercoaching.com/topic/making-the-dream-into-reality/

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