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  • #464627

    pokajack55
    Participant
    CFP Student

    Replies: 514
    Topics: 99
    Join date: 2019/09/09

     

    SB: $22.02 (110.1 bb)
    Hero (BB): $20.60 (103 bb)
    CO: $31.78 (158.9 bb)
    BTN: $21.57 (107.9 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is BB with A of clubs Q of hearts
    CO raises to $0.40, BTN calls $0.40, SB calls $0.30, Hero raises to $2.40, 2 folds, SB calls $2.00

    Flop: ($5.60) 8 of spades 2 of clubs A of spades (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $3.36, SB raises to $7.84, Hero calls $4.48

    Turn: ($21.28) 2 of diamonds (2 players)
    SB bets $11.78 and is all-in,

    Spoiler:
    Hero calls $10.36 and is all-in
    River: ($42) 2 of hearts (2 players, 2 are all-in)
    Results: $42 pot ($1.50 rake)
    Final Board: 8 of spades 2 of clubs A of spades 2 of diamonds 2 of hearts
    SB showed 8 of hearts 8 of diamonds and won $40.50 ($19.90 net)
    Hero mucked A of clubs Q of hearts and lost (-$20.60 net)

    V: aa

    bb

    notes: no SQ AQ BB//no SQ AJ BU

    Q1: do we have 21% against V X/R range?

    A1: worst case V needs to X/R 3 combos of FD

      <b>Equity</b> <b>Win</b> <b>Tie</b>  
    <b>MP2</b>  21.93%  21.73%  0.19% AcQh
    <b>MP3</b>  78.07%  77.88%  0.19% 88, 22, A8s, A2s, KsQs, KsJs, QsJs

    With V having high X/R I believe  he has more than set at this point. I dont believe he slowplays sets here since he has high raise stat.

    Q2: do we have 25% on turn?

    A2: The deuce is the second best card after an 8, even better than a Queen, since V valuerange has mostly sets and it reduces his sets/ 2P combos. Villain needs to shove only 2 combos of FD for us to have a call here. When V needsto bluff only this few amounts of combos, it is usually given.

    Conclusion: High Variance spot where we should fold flop or turn against a tight check-raiser. Since this is specific and we ahve the best conditions with the turn card and Villaisn high raise stat, I believe it is totally fien to call down.

     

     

     

    "Life´s greatest lessons are learned through Pain"
    https://www.bestpokercoaching.com/topic/making-the-dream-into-reality/

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