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March 30, 2019 at 6:21 pm #464741
Join date: 2018/05/22
888 Poker – €0.20 NL (6 max) – Holdem – 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (BTN): 100 BB
SB: 47.25 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
BB: 104.6 BB (VPIP: 29.78, PFR: 25.83, 3Bet Preflop: 12.86, Hands: 2,408)
UTG: 79.95 BB (VPIP: 46.74, PFR: 17.39, 3Bet Preflop: 7.89, Hands: 92)
MP: 112.7 BB (VPIP: 24.02, PFR: 17.85, 3Bet Preflop: 8.76, Hands: 1,121)
CO: 158 BB (VPIP: 24.76, PFR: 19.31, 3Bet Preflop: 6.58, Hands: 4,752)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 8 5
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2 BB, SB calls 1.5 BB, BB calls 1 BB
Flop: (6 BB, 3 players) 3 8 A
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets 3 BB, fold, BB calls 3 BB
Turn: (12 BB, 2 players) T
BB checks, Hero checks
River: (12 BB, 2 players) K
BB bets 8.55 BB, fold,
BB is kind of a regular and SB is a fish. BB squeezes 9% and folds to cbet OOP 25%. He probes River 86% (6/7)
Q1: 2nd barrel?
A1: I think vs the regular there’s no value to be gained by 2ndbar, and a better hand is never folding.
Q2: bluff catch the River?
To answer this, I assumed he overcalls Preflop with any two suited, Ax and any offsuit 1-gapper or better (in adition the normal hands, pocket pairs, suited aces etc) (because of the presence of the fish); he called the Flop with any pair or draw, and probe the River with any Kx or better (probably only Kx) and busted draw. I also assumed he raises OTF with 2P+. Doe to his low fold to cbet, I think it’s also possible he’s calling with hands like 76OTF- not sure about this since the pot is multiway
With this assumptions, his range after his River probe is the following
vs this range we have 30,5% equity. We need 29% so it’s close, because of the rake I think it’s a fold
If he’s not value betting 2nd pair (removing K9, K7-K4, K2, all of hearts, from the chart above), our equity is a little higher, 31,85%. Closer to a call, but still hard spot
So if he’s calling OTF with 76stuff, now we have a clear callApril 1, 2019 at 2:44 pm #464937
Murat CakmakParticipantCFP Student
Join date: 2018/01/17
If we are multiway on an A high flop with 2nP, I like to check back. SB and BB have many Ax in their range and you dont have multiple streets of value.
"Life´s greatest lessons are learned through Pain"
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