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  • #461660

    opushtencija
    Participant
    CFP Student

    Replies: 23
    Topics: 24
    Join date: 2018/07/03

    PokerStars – $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) – Holdem – 6 players
    Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

    BTN: 279 BB
    Hero (SB): 105 BB
    BB: 157.5 BB
    UTG: 125.5 BB
    MP: 217 BB
    CO: 174.5 BB

    Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

    Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T A

    fold, MP raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 2.5 BB, fold

    Flop: (7 BB, 2 players) Q T 9
    Hero checks, MP bets 3.5 BB, Hero calls 3.5 BB

    Turn: (14 BB, 2 players) 6
    Hero checks, MP bets 7 BB, Hero calls 7 BB

    River: (28 BB, 2 players) 8
    Hero bets 16 BB, MP calls 16 BB

    Spoiler:
    Hero shows T A (Flush, Ace High)
    MP mucks J K (Straight, King High)
    Hero wins 58 BB

    PREFLOP

    V’s stats

    V’s range

    He opens 15%  from UTG

    FLOP

    V bets half pot. The board is very wet and hits V’s opening range hard so i put him on this Cbet range.

    TURN

    V bets half pot again and his range remains more or less the same

    Q: Should I raise this turn?

    A: I asked my self in the game this question because I improved to a nut flush draw but after this analysis the answer is NO! It looks maybe week that V bets only half pot here but this board hits very well villains range and we can not hope to make him fold on river if we miss. We also have a lot of equity and have the right odds to call and V could decide to shove vs my raise and I have to fold a lot of equity. 

    Thoughts?

     

    #461663

    jldv34
    Participant


    Replies: 12
    Topics: 8
    Join date: 2019/02/28

    If the board hits the vilan range why just 1/2 pot bet size on river?, I would target the top of his range and bet pot (or bigger)

    #461664

    opushtencija
    Participant
    CFP Student

    Replies: 23
    Topics: 24
    Join date: 2018/07/03

    Yep. My bet on R is a clear mistake

    #461763

    atiy
    Participant
    CFP Student

    Replies: 92
    Topics: 28
    Join date: 2018/05/02

    Hey,

    On the turn another important factor to consider is our SDV – when we got a pair + FD in general i would not start aggression with a c/r on turn. Cause now we actually do beat some of his draws that bets, therefore less good to turn our hand into a bluff. Yes it’s true that we got more equity when we also got a pair however i would not say it’s a reason to fastplay.

    Very well played, i would have played exactly the same, just the betsize on the river as mentioned above, go larger 🙂

    I would say 24-27 bbs, i don’t really want to OB in this spot cause i still want him to call with 1p hands aswell.

    On these limits a donk bet is a lot more profitable, cause villans arent going to bluff their missed draws often enough,

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