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  • #479051

    JayBee1982
    Participant
    CFP Student

    Replies: 583
    Topics: 135
    Join date: 2019/09/07

    Villain is a fish.

    Image from Gyazo
    BB checks, Hero???

    I gave villain a range where he raises two pair+ 2/3 of the time before the river, because of the double FD OTT. I think that’s a reasonable assumption, if anything it could be higher, which helps us. In that case we don’t need villain to call down with all that many Tx, JT+ would already be enough for us to have a profitable value bet.

    Image from Gyazo

    The question isn’t so much about wether we can value bet or not, but how big we can go. I think the above range would certainly call half pot bets OTR, because of all the missed draws (KJ, 9x, FDs, GSs). I think we could make it around 60% and be good. 75% seems to be a bit thin, although it can’t be that bad.

    Spoiler:
    Image from Gyazo

    I think that for the size I bet all Tx will call, and possibly 8x too. Still, I think I missed value and would prefer a bigger sizing next time

    #508389

    Dlecheff
    Participant
    Heads-Up Coach

    Replies: 2223
    Topics: 634
    Join date: 2019/09/10

    Easy 3/4 bet for me. Even I might not fold Tx OTR on this runout vs 3/4bet ( maybe I will fold, but fish will for sure call wider than me ). Q paired and there are 2 missed FD’s in his eyes. He is never folding Tx.

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