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December 27, 2018 at 10:15 am #447940
Join date: 2016/05/10
partypoker – €0.20 NL (6 max) – Holdem – 2 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (BB): 86.05 BB
SB: 50.45 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 11)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J J
SB calls 0.5 BB, Hero raises to 4 BB, SB calls 3 BB
Flop: (8 BB, 2 players) 2 7 4
Hero bets 6 BB, SB calls 6 BB
Turn: (20 BB, 2 players) 9
Hero bets 15 BB, SB calls 15 BB
River: (50 BB, 2 players) Q
Hero checks, SB bets 23.55 BB, fold
[spoil]SB wins 70.65 BB
Q: call R?
A: Some draws missed like: A3,A5,65,53,85 but flush hits. We dont afraid Q, V unknown. We need 24% to call. I think its closed and call its not a big mistakeFebruary 2, 2019 at 12:52 pm #453307
EbrioParticipantShark Academy Member
Join date: 2018/05/22
Isn’t this a value bet OTR? bet-fold. Just asking. That’s how I would have played. Besides I would iso x5.
It’s true we don’t fear the Q, we fear the flush. That said, there’s a ton of more busted SD than completed FD, but of course we don’t know if he’s betting busted SD. We only need to be good 1 out of 4 times so as played I think call is good.February 20, 2019 at 9:36 am #456584
Join date: 2017/01/15
Besides the low sample, the villain looks like a whale.
If you bet, all missed draws gonna fold and you gonna get called by queen and the flush, so it is non sense to bet river. checking allow him to bluff so lets go to equilab: we need 25% equity to call here, I gave him a wide range since he looks like a whale, and excluded any hand he will not limp on SB (Ax is pretty suspicious to have in this range to be honest, I guess he mini raise that pre flop)
this is optimistic. removing Ax pre flop:
so it is a must call if it is all right.
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